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Buying a Home? What's the Rush?

Many persons interested in buying a home seem not to be in any rush.  They are betting that prices will fall further, and that interest rates will remain low.  But what happens if rates rise?  They have in the past, and the government is now in a position it will have to borrow money to pay for all the spending.  How do they do that?  They have to make their interest rates attractive to investors. If you have been paying attention to the world markets the dollar is falling, and may no longer be the currency of choice for safety and trade.  In the last week or so, Australiaraised it's interest rates and it sent panic into the financial markets.  This week it was Norway that raised their rates.  This will set off fear in governments around the world.  They are all in the same boat financially as we are in the USA.  They will also need to attract investors in their bonds, and may want to do so when they can still afford it.  As more countries start raising their interest rates for investments, the quicker they will rise as the next nation has to top the previous offering of other countries now paying lower rates.  There is no magic here.  So shortly we may see other nations start to raise their rates.  At that point, the USA will have no choice but to follow.  When that happens, a rise in mortgage rates can move even affordable homes beyond the reach and qualifications of many.  It can also happen very quickly leaving many would be home owners standing on the sidelines. and their only option is to rent! 

The cost to borrow mortgage money even with modest rate increases will increase dramatically.  An increase in the the 30 year fixed rate mortgage at 4.5% Principle and Interest (PI) at $1013 / month will rise to $1330 PI / month for a 7% That is an increase of mortgage of $317 PI / month!  When you think about it in the 1980's when the markets were not as severe as this one, mortgage rates rose over 7% in less than 7 months.  I personally signed on a home at 9.5% in december, and by June 81' the rate was 15.5%  - the PITI of a 70K loan was over $1500 / Month!

Rising Mortgage Rates

When you amortize $200,000 borrowed a the different interest rates things change even more dramatically.  One of the costs of money, is how long it is borrowed for.   So the borrower also has to look at not just the monthly payment, but what about the increased costs of that higher monthly payment over the 30 years term of the mortgage.  The Amortization of $200,000.00 spread over 30 years  from mortgage rates that start at 4.5% and rise to 7% rises $164,529.87 more interest paid at the 7% loan vs. the 4.5% 30 year fixed rate.

Mortgage Amortization Comparison Chart

Jim Crawford REMAX

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Comments

I've read other posts that make the same point, but yours is much better defined and visually easier to understand. The graphs really make your point, I've bookmarked and plan on putting something similar together for some of my clients. Thanks for the post Jim

Posted by Fort Wayne Real Estate by Brian Kuhns (Coldwell Banker Roth Wehrly Graber) 9 months ago

Congress is trying to take the urgency off the fence sitters!
Trying to stay positive for the rest of this week!
Paul

Posted by Paul Henderson, Realtor ® Lacey, DuPont or Hartstene Pointe WA. (RE/MAX Professionals & Four Seasons Inc.) 9 months ago

My opinion-Rates below 8% are cheap. The extension of the tax creadit will help us for awhile but who knows how long.

You ae right in the graph above. Better to buy now while they ar elow than screw around and pay the extra money when you don't have to.

Posted by Steven Beam (RE/MAX Alliance - Parker Colorado Real Estate.) 9 months ago

Fort Wayne Real Estate by Brian Kuhns (Coldwell Banker Roth Wehrly Graber)  Thanks Brian...we have to keep it simple!

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

Paul Henderson, Realtor ® Lacey & DuPont Washington homes (RE/MAX Professionals & Four Seasons Inc.)  Congress is trying to paly down that much higher rates are inevitable.

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

Steven Beam (RE/MAX Alliance - Parker Colorado Real Estate.)  We must make hay when the sun shines.

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

The cost of waiting/saving is not worth missing an opportunity. In addition to monthly saving how about any repairs needed to the new purchase. Now as with most things are slow. Repairs can be done for half price. If you wait in hope of a better deal you will pay increase in labor as conditions improve.

Posted by Frank Rubi New Orleans LA | Kenner | Slidell (Frank Rubi Real Estate | Homes for Sale | Lic. in Louisiana ) 9 months ago

Frank Rubi Kenner/Metairie LA Real Estate (Frank Rubi Real Estate Licensed in Louisiana)  Exactly Frank!  "A bird in hand is worth two in the bush!"

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

Aloha Jim,

We are in a delicate situation considering the current economic conditions. With the creeping value of the US dollar we will definitely see a hike in interests rates in order to curb inflation sometime soon. Unless consumer confidence gets a good "get up and go" this quarter and next we might see a much longer period of Real Estate Doldrums as more buyers are pushed out of the buying pool by higher rates. Thanks for the post.

Peace,

 

Posted by Kimo Stowell - Real Estate Merchandiser (JDS Consulting: Hawaii Home Staging and Decor Design) 9 months ago

Kimo Stowell - Real Estate Merchandiser (JDS Consulting: Hawaii Home Staging and Decor Design)  Kimo, you see the big picture.  Most do not grasp it.

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

Hello Jim, you've clearly described some excellent reasons for home buyers to get very serious, and NOW, while the affordability of homes is most likely now at a major turning point.  When the rates jump back up, affordability will go down quicker that most folks will realize.  Thanks for the great presentation!  John

Posted by Alexander-Slocum REMAX Team - Vancouver WA Real Estate (RE/MAX equity group, inc. - Vancouver Washington) 9 months ago

Alexander-Slocum REMAX Team - Vancouver WA Real Estate (RE/MAX equity group, inc. - Vancouver Washington)  Thanks it is all about affordability.  "What's the monthly and long term cost going to be?"   That is the question every buyer should ask themselves before buying a home.

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

Jim - this is excellent and easy-to-read information.  I have several buyers sitting on the fence right now waiting for home prices to drop this winter. I'm passing this along.  It's just plain common sense.  Thanks so much for sharing!

Posted by Lina Robertson, REALTOR, Springfield MO Homes For Sale (RE/MAX Solutions) 9 months ago

Lina Robertson, ozarks-realestate.com, Springfield MO Real Estate For Sale (RE/MAX Solutions)  Now's the perfect time to buy a home.

Posted by Jim Crawford ~ Atlanta Real Estate-ABR E-PRO (RE/MAX Paramount Properties) 9 months ago

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